The Exponential Rise of Nuclear Verdicts

Wednesdays with Woodward® webinar series

June 29, 2022

Wednesday 1:00 p.m.-2:00 p.m. ET

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Are extreme jury awards – known as “nuclear verdicts” – the new normal? From 2015 to 2019, the average verdict in the National Law Journal’s Top 100 Verdicts more than tripled from $64 million to $214 million1. These jaw dropping verdicts are creating challenges for the insurance industry and commerce alike, making it difficult to underwrite potential legal risks, increasing premiums and threatening to put liability insurance out of reach for businesses. We heard from two experts, the Institute for Legal Reform’s Harold Kim and Travelers Claim General Counsel Alexia Cruz about what’s driving the trend and how businesses can manage risk in today’s evolving litigation landscape.   

1 National Law Journal’s 2015 and 2019 editions of the Top 100 Verdicts studies

Summary

What did we learn? Here are the top takeaways from The Exponential Rise of Nuclear Verdicts.

What is a “nuclear” verdict? According to Harold Kim, President of the Institute for Legal Reform, it’s any verdict in excess of $10 million. “It sounds very apocalyptic, but I think it’s a fitting term,” he remarked. “We’ve seen national headlines with verdicts reaching in the billions of dollars and, unfortunately, it’s not just an isolated event.”

This evolving litigation landscape is creating challenges for both insurance underwriters and businesses. “Every bad verdict drives up the cost of future cases,” noted Travelers’ Claim General Counsel Alexia Cruz. According to the National Law Journal, the average verdict has more than tripled from $64 million in 2015 to $214 million in 2019. These large verdicts make it difficult for insurers to assess risk, driving premium increases that put legal insurance out of reach for many organizations. “It is shocking, absolutely shocking, to see this developing on such a widespread scale,” added Kim.

The trucking industry is “under siege.” In addition to pandemic-related pressures, freight carriers are among the hardest hit, with many forced to file for bankruptcy after receiving nuclear verdicts. “There is a significant concern that moving freight, which is so critical to our economy, is going to start freezing up,” said Kim. He noted that shipping and pharmaceutical industries are also absorbing significant impact. “The blast radius of this reaches well beyond the trucking industry,” he said.

Post-pandemic trends remain hard to predict. While pandemic-related court closures temporarily slowed the rise of extreme jury awards, the future is unclear. “We really have to try to understand how COVID-19 has impacted societal views on certain issues,” Cruz cautioned. “Most jurors are experiencing the pandemic very differently. Seeing how a two-year situation can impact a juror’s perception of how they’re going to view these cases, and large awards, is going to be interesting,” she added.

Of the many factors driving the exponential rise of jury awards, three lead the pack: trial advertising, unregulated third-party funding and social inflation.

  • Online, TV and billboard advertising. “Trial advertising is one of the biggest drivers of nuclear verdicts,” noted Kim. Punctuating his point: in a poll of our 2,000-person audience, 88% had seen a mass tort ad in the past week. In addition to bringing in plaintiffs, these ads influence jury pools. “On TV alone, the plaintiffs’ bar is spending billions,” Kim added. “This is not just one-off ads … this is a systematic, orchestrated marketing effort.”
  • Unregulated third-party funding. “It’s like the Wild West,” Kim observed. Litigation funding – the leveraging of capital from third parties like hedge and sovereign wealth funds to back potentially lucrative lawsuits – is now a $39 billion industry, with limited regulation or disclosure requirements. Kim sees third parties with no interest injecting themselves into the system as a major concern. “They really hide in the shadows. If you’re a defendant, you’re not going to know who has a financial interest in the case.”
  • Social inflation. As public exposure to news of extreme jury awards, attorney advertising and litigation funding increases, jurors become desensitized to nuclear settlements. “It’s hard to predict social inflation trends, making it challenging to underwrite the risks,” noted Cruz. “And society seems to be getting more comfortable with overlooking the personal responsibility.”

What can be done? Our experts shared their thoughts on how we might start to control the rise of nuclear verdicts.

  • Pick your battles. “We need to pick the right cases to settle, and the right cases to take to trial,” Cruz noted – adding that, when a case goes to court, “it’s imperative we win.”
  • Pick the right insurance partner. “Look for a carrier with a strong risk control department to help you evaluate the risks,” Cruz advised. “Make sure your carrier is leveraging data and analytics to optimize outcomes for your clients. When the loss happens, you also want a carrier that will put the right resources on the case to protect your clients.”
  • Require transparency in third-party funding. A handful of states and judicial districts require disclosure of third-party funding agreements, and it’s being discussed in the hallways of Congress. “There has to be an urgency in terms of making sure that your elected officials know that this is an important issue,” Kim emphasized.

1National Law Journal’s 2015 and 2019 editions of the Top 100 Verdicts studies

Presented by the Travelers Institute, the MetroHartford Alliance and the American Property Casualty Insurance Association.

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Speakers

Harold KimHarold Kim
President, Institute for Legal Reform and Chief Legal Officer and Executive Vice President for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce

Alexia Cruz
Alexia Cruz
Senior Vice President and Claim General Counsel, Travelers

Host

Joan Woodward headshot
Joan Woodward
President, Travelers Institute; Executive Vice President, Public Policy, Travelers


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